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Thread: Chance of getting a legendary

  1. #1

    Chance of getting a legendary

    Have any of you statistics nerds figured out the chance of drawing a legendary in a booster pack?

  2. #2
    They placed it at approx 1/9.
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  3. #3
    Chark stated the chances were 1/9, and some testing done by the community during late alpha and early beta have shown that to be pretty much spot on.
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  4. #4
    The Transcended
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    1/9 for legendary to replace the rare
    2% to proc a primal pack
    Chest drop chances are not well defined (someone get on that!)*
    Chest spin chances are gathering data (I think it's in the Beta subforum)

    * There was a thread where we tried but the data was corrupted somehow, at least for the legendaries.

  5. #5
    Wheels of Fate spin stats and reporting:
    http://forums.cryptozoic.com/showthread.php?t=34986

    Based on community states, chest drop rates are roughly:
    60% common
    27.5% uncommon
    10% rare
    2.5% legendary

    According to Colin, Chark says those numbers are not quite correct, but that's what the community average worked out to when we were tracking it.
    --ossuary

    "Love all, trust a few, do wrong to none."
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  6. #6
    The Transcended
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    My personal data says legendary chest is more like 2%, so I would guess that the data in the tracking thread was polluted by people reporting their primal packs as part of the stats. Either that or we just needed more data and it was actually 3% (actual data had it around 2.7% or so if I remember right).

  7. #7
    2% chance of a primal pack from a booster and 2% chance of a legendary chest from a booster has a nice symmetry to it. Sounds like something Chark might do.
    --ossuary

    "Love all, trust a few, do wrong to none."
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  8. #8
    The Transcended
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    60/28/10/2 does seem like a nicer split, and since these things aren't arbitrary (a human is deciding them) it makes sense that they'd be round numbers.

  9. #9
    Or 60/27/10/3 perhaps.
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  10. #10
    The Transcended
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    Quote Originally Posted by hex_colin View Post
    Or 60/27/10/3 perhaps.
    That would also make sense.

    My data says:
    Code:
    leg	rar	unc	com
    2.79%	10.62%	27.63%	58.96%

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